Publications

Fuest, C., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Read my Lips? Taxes and Elections,Journal of Public Economics, vol. 236, 105149.

Boumans, D., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2024): Political Leaders and Macroeconomic Expectations: Evidence from a Global Survey Experiment, Journal of Public Economics, vol. 235, 105140.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2024): The Beauty Premium of Politicians in Office, Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, vol.217, pp.298-311.

Borisova, E., Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Harter, A., Potrafke, N. and Schoors, K. (2023): Crisis Experience and the Deep Roots of COVID-19 Vaccination Preferences, European Economic Review, vol.160, pp.104607.

Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2022): Should We Care (More) About Data Aggregation? European Economic Review, vol.142, pp.104010.

Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2021): Using Machine Learning for Measuring Democracy: A practitioners guide and a new updated dataset for 186 countries from 1919 to 2019, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.70, pp.102047.

Gründler, K. and Hillman, A. (2021): Ambiguous Protection, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.68, pp.102009.

Bachmann, O., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Seiberlich, R. (2021): Partisan Bias in Inflation Expectations, Public Choice, vol.186, pp.513-536.

Gründler, K. (2021): The Vanishing Effect of Finance on Economic Development, Macroeconomic Dynamics, vol.25(2), pp.536-578.

Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2020): Culture, Diversity, and the Welfare State, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.48(4), pp.913-932.

Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2019): Corruption and Economic Growth: New Empirical Evidence, European Journal of Political Economy, Vol.60, pp.101810.

Gründler, K. and Scheuermeyer, P. (2018): Growth Effects of Inequality and Redistribution: What are the Transmission Channels? Journal of Macroeconomics, vol.55(3), pp.293-313.

Gründler, K. and Sauerhammer, S. (2018): Do Expectations Matter? Reassessing the Effect of Government Spending on Key Macroeconomic Variables in Germany, Applied Economics Letters, vol.25(15), pp.1045-1050.

Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2017): Determinants of Governmental Redistribution: Income Distribution, Development Levels, and the Role of Perceptions, Journal of Comparative Economics, vol.45(4), pp.930-962.

Gründler, K. and Krieger, T. (2016): Democracy and Growth: Evidence from a Machine Learning Indicator, European Journal of Political Economy, vol.45, pp.85-107.

Berthold, N. and Gründler, K. (2015): The Growth Crisis of Germany: A Blueprint for the Developed Economies? International Economic Journal, vol.29(2), pp.195-229.

Fuest, C., Gründler, K., Nübling, M., Potrafke, N., and Schlepper, M. (2024): The German debt brake - stability anchor or investment blocker? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.77(1), pp.44-48.

Geißendörfer, L., Gründler, Potrafke, N., and Wochner, T. (2023): The beauty premium of politicians in office, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(12), pp.28-31.

Glombitza, F., Gründler, Potrafke, N., and Wochner, T. (2023): Inflation expectations of experts: Signposts and anchors of stability, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(11), pp.40-43.

Doerr, L., Gründler, K., Heil, P., Potrafke, N., Rippert, S., Schlepper, M. and Weber, L. (2023): ifo Local Election Lab (ifo LOCEL) - Georeferencing of Bundestag electoral districts for the 400 largest cities in Germany, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(10), pp.39-44.

Gründler, K., Günter, A., Potrafke, N., and Schlepper, M. (2023): A mid-term review - this is how economists assess the economic policy of the traffic light coalition, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(10), pp.63-66.

Gründler, K. Potrafke, N., and Weber, M. (2023): Economists panel on the "fiscal turnaround": How do economists want to realize the fiscal turnaround? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(7), pp.68-71.

Fuest, C., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., and Schlepper, M. (2023): No banking crisis: Economists do not expect a new financial crisis and call for continuation of interest rate policy, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.76(4), pp.75-78.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2023): Additional income and parliamentary activities, WiSt - Economic Studies, Vol.52(1), pp.34-39.

Thiel, L., and Michaelis, J. (2023): Digital central bank money: Why does nobody dare to take the first step?, Vierteljahrshefte für Wirtschaftsforschung, Vol.92(3), pp.9-22.

Blesse, S., Gründler, K., Heil, P., Necker, S., Potrafke, N., Schlepper, M., and Wochner T. (2022): The social market economy from a population perspective I/III: How popular is the social market economy among the population? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.75(9), pp.50-55.

Baur, A., Flach, L., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2022): Economists in favor of restricting trade with autocrats, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.75(7), pp.31-35.

Gründler, K., Harter, A., Mosler, M., Potrafke, N., Ruthardt, F. and Schaltegger, C. (2022): Introducing the Economic Experts Survey (EES), CESifo Forum, Vol.23(3), pp.44-49.

Dräger, L., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt. F. (2022): Economists Panel: Inflation rate of 4.4 percent expected for 2022, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.75(3), pp.35-37.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., and Wochner. T. (2022): How to consolidate public debt in Germany, CESifo Forum, Vol.23(1), pp.17-32.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Schlepper, M. (2022): Do multi-party governments like the German traffic light coalition increase government spending and budget deficits? - Empirical Evidence on Fiscal Policies of Multiparty Governments in Industrialized Countries, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.75(1), pp.42-45.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2022): The traffic light coalition agreement in the econometric test, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.75(1), pp.52-56.

Gründler, K. (2021): Empirical causal analysis through natural experiments: On the Nobel Prize for David Card, Joshua Angrist and Guido Imbens, WiSt - Studies in Economics, Vol.50.

Fuest, C., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2021): Tax increases? Most likely directly after elections, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(10), pp.12-15.

Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Heil, P., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2021): Economic development after the federal election: Will it depend on who governs?, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(10), pp.82-87.

Berz, T., Gründler, K., Harter, A., Pfeiffer, J., Pittel, K., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2021): Europe: Climate neutral by 2050? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(10), pp.66-70.

Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Potrafke, N., and Ruthardt, F. (2021): For more transparency: German Bundestag tightens rules on MPs' additional income, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(9), pp.66-69.

Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Harter, A., and Potrafke, N. (2021): Vaccinations against Covid-19: How crisis experience determines vaccination preference and vaccination speed, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(8), pp.24-26.

Gründler, K., Heil, P., and Potrafke, N. (2021): Public debt and the prayer wheels of politics, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(4), pp.24-30.

Gründler, K., Mänz, J., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2021): Germany after one year of Corona: Economists take stock, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(3), pp.59-62.

Boumans, D., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2021): How the outcome of the 2020 US presidential election influences expectations of economic development worldwide, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.74(1), pp.35-37.

Aboushanab, H., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., Ruthardt, F. and Sielmann, J. (2020): Hopeful Biden, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(12), pp.40-43.

Gründler, K., Hackenberger, A., Kähn, L., Nitschke, R., Potrafke, N. and Ragnitz, J. (2020): Record debt after Corona - what about the burden on state budgets? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(11), pp.40-49.

Arth, L., Gründler, K., Potrafke, N., Ruthardt, F. and Sielman, J. (2020): Undesirable side effects of the corona measures: Zombies?, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(11), pp.50-52.

Werding, M., Gründler, K., Läpple, B., Lehmann, R., Mosler, M. and Potrafke, N. (2020): Sustainability of public finances: Does it still matter? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(9), pp.53-58.

Ahlheim, M. and Gründler, K., Kähn, L., Mosler, M. Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2020): Do we need state intervention in the meat market? ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(8), pp.60-63.

Blum, J. and Gründler, K. (2020): Political instability and economic growth, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(8), pp.41-44.

Dörr, L., Gründler, K., Heil, P. Mosler, M. and Potrafke, N. (2020): Epidemics and incumbency, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(7), pp.47-51.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Ruthardt, F. (2020): How economists assess the economic policy responses to the corona crisis - Part 2, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.73(6), pp.52-55.

Gründler, K., Potrafke, N. and Wochner, T. (2020): Corruption and economic growth, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.72(18): 27-33.

Blum, J., Gründler, K., de Britto-Schiller, R., Potrafke, N. (2019): The debt brake under discussion - majority of economist panel participants in favor of retaining it, ifo Schnelldienst, Vol.72(22): 27-33.

Fuest, C., Gründler, K. and Potrafke, N. (2019): For a sustainable fiscal policy with the debt brake, Economic Service, Vol.99(5), 307-329.

Berthold, N., Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2016): What drives state redistribution? Economic Service, Vol.96, pp.32-37.

Gründler, K. and Köllner, S. (2016): What does the state use as a guide for redistribution? WiSt - Economic Studies, Vol.45(5), pp.253-258.

Berthold, N. and Gründler, K. (2015): What is social mobility and how is it determined? WiSt - Economic Studies, Vol.44(10), pp.564-571.

Berthold, N. and Gründler, K. (2014): Social mobility and income inequality, Economic Service, Vol.94(10), pp.708-712.

Berthold, N. and Gründler, K. (2014): How does stagflation arise? WiSt - Economic Studies, Vol. 43(5), pp.250-258.

Berthold, N. and Gründler, K. (2017): Inequality, social mobility and redistribution, Stuttgart: Kohlhammer, 2017.

Gründler, K. (2017): A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Development. Technology, Inequality and the State, Würzburg University Press, 2017.